Predicting the future of the iPhone is perfect bait for marketing pundits everywhere. How about a pool and we’ll see who’s as smart as they pretend to be?
Steve Ballmer says, "There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance."
Laura Ries writes,
"I don’t disagree with the prediction that initially Apple will sell
quite a few iPhones. Steve Job’s brilliant job with the PR and the
media’s love of convergence will make an iPhone a must have for some
early adopters and elites.
But shortly after the launch the initial hype will wear off and
Steve will move on to the next project at Apple. Then the iPhone will
end up in the convergence scrap heap along with the ROKR, N-Gage, WebTv
and many others."
Easy to be hard, I guess. My take is quite different. I think the iPhone is going to sell 2 million units in 2007 and more in 2008. There, I said it.
So, I invite you to make a prediction, trackback it here and a year from now, we’ll take a look.